Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?

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Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?

"Which league should I bet on today?"

The key to successful betting lies in understanding the nuances of different leagues and identifying where value can be found.

Some soccer-rating.com strategies offer a choice between Major Leagues and Lower Leagues.

Major Leagues generally have higher odds (a lower bookmaker margin). However, it is likely more challenging to find a profitable bet compared to a Lower League. This is simply because information for Major Leagues is quickly available to everyone. Important news such as injuries, absences for other reasons, tactical changes, etc., is not just known to you but to the entire world.

In this article, we specifically examine the profitability of leagues in soccer-rating.com strategies.

The results should be generally applicable for your bets, especially if you focus on trends (market movements, dropping odds).

General Guidelines:

  • Lower leagues with lower market coverage are better than very popular leagues. For example, you might prefer the 2nd division in Portugal over the 1st division.

  • Leagues with many goals (few draws) are better than leagues with fewer goals. A profitable league is the Dutch Eredivisie.

  • Leagues with many teams (e.g., 20 or even 24 teams) are better than leagues with fewer teams (e.g., only 10 teams). All 3rd divisions in Italy are very good for betting.

  • Avoid leagues with reserve teams/youth teams. Examples: Avoid the Dutch 2nd division, German 3rd division.

  • Many surprises are good for the bettor and not bad, as surprises create value (e.g., in the next game).

Lowr leagues with 14 or even fewer teams are generally not good for soccer betting because there are simply too few teams. If the teams play against each other 4 times during a season, there is no value left in the odds by the 3rd meeting, as the strengths are very predictable. In a league with 20 teams, however, there can be many surprises. After 10 matchdays, a team might be at the top that no one expected. For example, through luck or an easy start to the season, value can arise. This team would be one to bet against profitably.

Cup matches are also very good because they are harder for the bookmaker to calculate. The players used can change, and the motivation can vary. Here, the bettor can actually have an advantage over the bookmaker.

Here are the leagues from the “Prediction Today” page, sorted by payout.

This table is a yearly statistic and updates automatically after each new result. You can bookmark or share the page if you like.

LeagueProfitGamesPayout
EE1Meistriliiga154.7033146.88%
GR1Super League117.9024149.13%
PL2I Liga116.4034134.24%
UK1Premier League113.2046124.61%
CZ1Gambrinus Liga97.1035127.74%
ELCUPEuropa League94.8042122.57%
UK5National League93.6035126.74%
CLCUPChampions League81.7034124.03%
DE11. Bundesliga75.6032123.63%
UK2Championship74.8049115.27%
NL1Eredivisie71.4048114.88%
ROCUPROCUP71.007201.43%
UK4League Two70.6033121.39%
PT2Liga de Honra70.5022132.05%
CY11. Division66.4028123.71%
CZ2Druha Liga60.3044113.70%
BE21. Division B56.2026121.62%
DECUPDECUP55.5014139.64%
CH2Challenge League52.0019127.37%
RU21. Division51.9034115.26%
RUCUPRUCUP49.6015133.07%
IL1Ligat Ha´al49.2020124.60%
FI1Veikkausliiga47.5027117.59%
NO2Adeccoligaen46.1045110.24%
TUCUPTUCUP44.007162.86%
FR2Ligue 242.7043109.93%
MK1Prva Liga40.6022118.45%
PT1Super Liga38.9030112.97%
IS21. Deild38.5021118.33%
CH1Super League37.1024115.46%
NI1Premier League36.8016123.00%
BE11. Division A33.5045107.44%
IR1Eircom Premier Divison32.8029111.31%
IS1Landsbankadeild32.6034109.59%
UK3League One31.5038108.29%
ECLCUPConference League30.9081103.81%
DK1Superligaen30.3028110.82%
NOCUPNOCUP27.2012122.67%
UKFACUPFA Cup25.5014118.21%
UKLCUPEFL Cup18.2012115.17%
RO2Liga II18.1041104.41%
RU1Premier Liga17.8042104.24%
ITCUPCoppa Italia15.006125.00%
UKFATCUPUKFATCUP14.506124.17%
MT1Premier League13.2020106.60%
KZ1Super League13.2036103.67%
MD1Divizia Nationala12.5016107.81%
ES3G2Segunda B 211.4030103.80%
AZ1Yuksak Liga6.308107.88%
AT1Bundesliga1.0015100.67%
NLCUPKNVB Beker-0.40699.33%
NL2Eerste Divisie-2.104199.49%
ESCUPCopa del Rey-2.201198.00%
LT1A Lyga-3.403298.94%
BG1Bulgaria A PFG-4.502898.39%
FR3National-8.902396.13%
UA1Vyscha Liga-9.403997.59%
ES1Primera Division-9.405898.38%
RO1Liga I-9.703797.38%
IT3CLega Pro C-10.605297.96%
PTCUPPTCUP-10.90681.83%
AL1Super League-10.901290.92%
DK21. Divison-16.202392.96%
IT1Serie A-21.304995.65%
SW1Allsvenskan-28.903992.59%
CZCUPCZCUP-29.70862.88%
IT2Serie B-30.705193.98%
ISCUPISCUP-31.10648.17%
DKCUPDKCUP-31.50965.00%
PLCUPPLCUP-32.70753.29%
ES2Segunda Division-33.604292.00%
ITCCUPITCCUP-34.00751.43%
HU1Soproni Liga-34.601880.78%
FR1Ligue 1-38.104791.89%
BA1Premier Liga-40.702784.93%
FI2Ykkösliiga-50.102680.73%
DE33. Liga-54.003082.00%
LA1Virsliga-54.903684.75%
MN1Prva Crnogorska Liga-56.502173.10%
SW2Superettan-58.303482.85%
CS1Super Liga-58.703080.43%
TU2TFF 1. League-61.703783.32%
SC1Premier League-63.702271.05%
BY1Vysshaya Liga-64.604585.64%
HR11. HNL-65.502270.23%
AM1Premier League-70.802470.50%
WL1Premier League-72.702570.92%
GE1Erovnuli Liga-74.003075.33%
SK1Corgon Liga-76.503074.50%
TU1Superliga-79.703476.56%
AT2Erste Liga-91.503875.92%
NO1Tippeligaen-96.103874.71%
IT3BLega Pro B-98.305883.05%
SC2Championship-103.101945.74%
SI1Prva Liga-110.102352.13%
DE22. Bundesliga-118.204473.14%
IT3ALega Pro A-155.904061.03%
PL1Ekstraklasa-183.604357.30%
ES3G1Segunda B 1-251.503323.79%

LeagueProfitGamesPayout
BR1Serie A167.5099116.92%
UY1Primera Division166.8055130.33%
BO1Liga Profesional84.6040121.15%
US1Major Soccer League83.00122106.80%
MX1Liga MX76.4044117.36%
CO1Primera A75.1066111.38%
CA1Canadian Premier League70.1020135.05%
ZA1Premier Soccer League63.5031120.48%
UZ1Uzbek League59.5039115.26%
AFCUPAFC Cup51.8010151.80%
TH1Thai Premier League45.9020122.95%
MA1Botola Pro43.5019122.89%
IN2I League40.208150.25%
JO1Jordan League29.0023112.61%
MX2Liga de Expansion MX27.0022112.27%
CLICUPCopa Libertadores25.5030108.50%
BRPPaulista22.506137.50%
HK1Premier League22.1015114.73%
AU1A-League19.5021109.29%
JOCUPJOCUP19.209121.33%
GT1Liga Nacional19.0022108.64%
BRCUPBRCUP15.507122.14%
INCUPINCUP12.407117.71%
AE1Arabian Gulf League12.3038103.24%
MY1Super League10.4017106.12%
PY1Divison Professional10.2021104.86%
CAFCUPCAF Champions League3.007104.29%
CCCUPCONCACAF Champions League-0.90698.50%
VE1Primera Division-1.003299.69%
JPLCUPLeague Cup-1.102099.45%
TN1Ligue Professionnelle 1-1.204999.76%
JPCUPJPCUP-13.10678.17%
CN1Super League-14.104797.00%
CCLCUPLeages Cup-17.602993.93%
IA1Iran Pro League-21.505696.16%
JP1J League-27.005394.91%
QA1Stars League-28.701984.89%
EC1Primera A-29.305394.47%
CACUPCACUP-37.50637.50%
BOCUPBOCUP-39.00635.00%
CLCCUPCLCCUP-40.40849.50%
KR1K-League Classic-41.902985.55%
CR1Primera Division-46.001467.14%
JP2J2 League-46.505791.84%
AFCCUPAFC Champions League-47.601363.38%
ID1Super League-48.704188.12%
EG1Premier League-52.904086.78%
HN1Liga Nacional-55.801665.13%
CL1Primera Division-64.003280.00%
VN1V-League-72.702368.39%
DZ1League 1-75.205686.57%
SA1Pro League-92.103674.42%
CPCUPCopa Sudamericana-102.404979.10%
KR2K-League Challenge-111.104072.23%
BR2Serie B-111.405680.11%
PE1Primera Division-148.606978.46%
AR1Primera Division-175.5010483.13%


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