Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?

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Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?

"Which league should I bet on today?"

The key to successful betting lies in understanding the nuances of different leagues and identifying where value can be found.

Some soccer-rating.com strategies offer a choice between Major Leagues and Lower Leagues.

Major Leagues generally have higher odds (a lower bookmaker margin). However, it is likely more challenging to find a profitable bet compared to a Lower League. This is simply because information for Major Leagues is quickly available to everyone. Important news such as injuries, absences for other reasons, tactical changes, etc., is not just known to you but to the entire world.

In this article, we specifically examine the profitability of leagues in soccer-rating.com strategies.

The results should be generally applicable for your bets, especially if you focus on trends (market movements, dropping odds).

General Guidelines:

  • Lower leagues with lower market coverage are better than very popular leagues. For example, you might prefer the 2nd division in Portugal over the 1st division.

  • Leagues with many goals (few draws) are better than leagues with fewer goals. A profitable league is the Dutch Eredivisie.

  • Leagues with many teams (e.g., 20 or even 24 teams) are better than leagues with fewer teams (e.g., only 10 teams). All 3rd divisions in Italy are very good for betting.

  • Avoid leagues with reserve teams/youth teams. Examples: Avoid the Dutch 2nd division, German 3rd division.

  • Many surprises are good for the bettor and not bad, as surprises create value (e.g., in the next game).

Lowr leagues with 14 or even fewer teams are generally not good for soccer betting because there are simply too few teams. If the teams play against each other 4 times during a season, there is no value left in the odds by the 3rd meeting, as the strengths are very predictable. In a league with 20 teams, however, there can be many surprises. After 10 matchdays, a team might be at the top that no one expected. For example, through luck or an easy start to the season, value can arise. This team would be one to bet against profitably.

Cup matches are also very good because they are harder for the bookmaker to calculate. The players used can change, and the motivation can vary. Here, the bettor can actually have an advantage over the bookmaker.

Here are the leagues from the “Prediction Today” page, sorted by payout.

This table is a yearly statistic and updates automatically after each new result. You can bookmark or share the page if you like.

LeagueProfitGamesPayout
UK1Premier League212.8063133.78%
UK3League One190.3081123.49%
CLCUPChampions League183.0042143.57%
IL1Ligat Ha´al160.0026161.54%
EE1Meistriliiga154.7033146.88%
TUCUPTUCUP127.2016179.50%
UK5National League126.2049125.76%
DE11. Bundesliga87.7062114.15%
CZ2Druha Liga84.7040121.18%
NO2Adeccoligaen77.7041118.95%
GR1Super League72.5038119.08%
FI1Veikkausliiga72.0027126.67%
RUCUPRUCUP70.0019136.84%
PL2I Liga67.6037118.27%
DECUPDECUP64.0018135.56%
IT1Serie A51.0073106.99%
DK1Superligaen47.9027117.74%
ITCUPCoppa Italia46.5010146.50%
RO2Liga II41.8059107.08%
CH1Super League41.2031113.29%
IS21. Deild38.5021118.33%
ES2Segunda Division38.2064105.97%
NL1Eredivisie35.1066105.32%
ESCUPCopa del Rey35.1014125.07%
MT1Premier League34.6030111.53%
IS1Landsbankadeild34.4035109.83%
RU21. Division29.9045106.64%
IT2Serie B28.9062104.66%
ROCUPROCUP23.006138.33%
IR1Eircom Premier Divison22.8030107.60%
UKLCUPEFL Cup22.1015114.73%
ECLCUPConference League19.3089102.17%
NI1Premier League16.4025106.56%
BE21. Division B12.0041102.93%
KZ1Super League11.8040102.95%
PT1Super Liga11.7046102.54%
CZ1Gambrinus Liga10.4044102.36%
MD1Divizia Nationala7.8021103.71%
AL1Super League3.7010103.70%
FR1Ligue 12.6068100.38%
SW1Allsvenskan2.3039100.59%
BA1Premier Liga-0.903099.70%
NOCUPNOCUP-2.801598.13%
LT1A Lyga-3.403298.94%
PT2Liga de Honra-5.802697.77%
ATCUPATCUP-6.30689.50%
SC1Premier League-6.403898.32%
FI2Ykkösliiga-7.602897.29%
TU2TFF 1. League-14.005597.45%
BE11. Division A-15.304796.74%
CH2Challenge League-16.602493.08%
NL2Eerste Divisie-18.704395.65%
RU1Premier Liga-19.204195.32%
UA1Vyscha Liga-20.504295.12%
FR3National-20.603393.76%
MK1Prva Liga-24.302690.65%
ELCUPEuropa League-24.404794.81%
DE22. Bundesliga-24.905195.12%
BY1Vysshaya Liga-26.904193.44%
RO1Liga I-29.304593.49%
CZCUPCZCUP-30.30862.13%
ES1Primera Division-30.408296.29%
ISCUPISCUP-31.10648.17%
CY11. Division-31.505594.27%
ES3G2Segunda B 2-31.605193.80%
AT1Bundesliga-34.701880.72%
DK21. Divison-36.102686.12%
FR2Ligue 2-36.705292.94%
FRCUPCoupe de France-40.901162.82%
WL1Premier League-41.802381.83%
ISLCUPISLCUP-44.50625.83%
UKFACUPFA Cup-47.301873.72%
BECUPBECUP-47.60947.11%
AT2Erste Liga-48.103987.67%
HU1Soproni Liga-50.402882.00%
LA1Virsliga-54.903684.75%
TU1Superliga-55.305088.94%
SI1Prva Liga-56.802172.95%
SW2Superettan-59.603582.97%
MN1Prva Crnogorska Liga-60.802474.67%
SC2Championship-61.002373.48%
BG1Bulgaria A PFG-67.404484.68%
UK2Championship-69.308591.85%
AM1Premier League-70.002774.07%
GE1Erovnuli Liga-72.503075.83%
NO1Tippeligaen-75.503578.43%
SK1Corgon Liga-77.503376.52%
AZ1Yuksak Liga-99.002050.50%
IT3CLega Pro C-108.708887.65%
IT3BLega Pro B-112.908686.87%
DE33. Liga-115.204171.90%
ES3G1Segunda B 1-116.905277.52%
HR11. HNL-125.602855.14%
PL1Ekstraklasa-130.004269.05%
IT3ALega Pro A-133.008484.17%
UK4League Two-165.206172.92%
CS1Super Liga-210.803743.03%

LeagueProfitGamesPayout
BR1Serie A156.0089117.53%
BO1Liga Profesional147.4038138.79%
UZ1Uzbek League102.8044123.36%
UY1Primera Division79.4069111.51%
CO1Primera A78.3071111.03%
US1Major Soccer League76.40121106.31%
CA1Canadian Premier League70.9017141.71%
CLICUPCopa Libertadores50.0030116.67%
AFCCUPAFC Champions League41.0020120.50%
ZA1Premier Soccer League35.9045107.98%
TN1Ligue Professionnelle 135.7057106.26%
AFCUPAFC Cup35.3013127.15%
BRCUPBRCUP32.508140.63%
IN2I League26.1026110.04%
PY1Divison Professional23.7027108.78%
IA1Iran Pro League23.4054104.33%
JO1Jordan League23.2022110.55%
AE1Arabian Gulf League22.3048104.65%
BRPPaulista21.3015114.20%
MY1Super League20.1023108.74%
AU1A-League17.6028106.29%
SACUPSACUP6.506110.83%
GT1Liga Nacional5.4033101.64%
MA1Botola Pro3.2052100.62%
HK1Premier League1.7019100.89%
CCCUPCONCACAF Champions League-0.90698.50%
JPLCUPLeague Cup-1.102099.45%
IN1Super League-4.401797.41%
VE1Primera Division-5.503798.51%
JP2J2 League-6.805998.85%
MX2Liga de Expansion MX-10.103196.74%
JPCUPJPCUP-13.10678.17%
MX1Liga MX-17.106897.49%
QA1Stars League-18.602291.55%
CCLCUPLeages Cup-22.103192.87%
CN1Super League-24.204093.95%
ZACUPZACUP-28.50759.29%
JP1J League-37.005493.15%
CACUPCACUP-37.50637.50%
CR1Primera Division-39.002886.07%
CAFCUPCAF Champions League-39.00635.00%
BOCUPBOCUP-39.00635.00%
SA1Pro League-44.605191.25%
ID1Super League-47.205992.00%
HN1Liga Nacional-47.403184.71%
EG1Premier League-48.104990.18%
KR1K-League Classic-51.403283.94%
CLCCUPCLCCUP-61.501559.00%
TH1Thai Premier League-65.003380.30%
VN1V-League-75.803477.71%
CL1Primera Division-77.703477.15%
EC1Primera A-80.906888.10%
CPCUPCopa Sudamericana-110.704876.94%
KR2K-League Challenge-111.104072.23%
BR2Serie B-136.005474.81%
PE1Primera Division-152.907078.16%
AR1Primera Division-163.8011085.11%
DZ1League 1-191.507775.13%


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