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Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?
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Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?
"Which league should I bet on today?"
The key to successful betting lies in understanding the nuances of different leagues and identifying where value can be found.
Some soccer-rating.com strategies offer a choice between Major Leagues and Lower Leagues.
Major Leagues generally have higher odds (a lower bookmaker margin). However, it is likely more challenging to find a profitable bet compared to a Lower League. This is simply because information for Major Leagues is quickly available to everyone. Important news such as injuries, absences for other reasons, tactical changes, etc., is not just known to you but to the entire world.
In this article, we specifically examine the profitability of leagues in soccer-rating.com strategies.
The results should be generally applicable for your bets, especially if you focus on trends (market movements, dropping odds).
General Guidelines:
- Lower leagues with lower market coverage are better than very popular leagues. For example, you might prefer the 2nd division in Portugal over the 1st division.
- Leagues with many goals (few draws) are better than leagues with fewer goals. A profitable league is the Dutch Eredivisie.
- Leagues with many teams (e.g., 20 or even 24 teams) are better than leagues with fewer teams (e.g., only 10 teams). All 3rd divisions in Italy are very good for betting.
- Avoid leagues with reserve teams/youth teams. Examples: Avoid the Dutch 2nd division, German 3rd division.
- Many surprises are good for the bettor and not bad, as surprises create value (e.g., in the next game).
Lowr leagues with 14 or even fewer teams are generally not good for soccer betting because there are simply too few teams. If the teams play against each other 4 times during a season, there is no value left in the odds by the 3rd meeting, as the strengths are very predictable. In a league with 20 teams, however, there can be many surprises. After 10 matchdays, a team might be at the top that no one expected. For example, through luck or an easy start to the season, value can arise. This team would be one to bet against profitably.
Cup matches are also very good because they are harder for the bookmaker to calculate. The players used can change, and the motivation can vary. Here, the bettor can actually have an advantage over the bookmaker.
Here are the leagues from the “Prediction Today” page, sorted by payout.
This table is a yearly statistic and updates automatically after each new result. You can bookmark or share the page if you like.
| League | Profit | Games | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | PT2 | Liga de Honra | 143.30 | 36 | 139.81% |
 | UKLCUP | EFL Cup | 104.20 | 16 | 165.13% |
 | BE1 | 1. Division A | 103.70 | 49 | 121.16% |
 | ES2 | Segunda Division | 100.50 | 60 | 116.75% |
 | DE1 | 1. Bundesliga | 99.40 | 38 | 126.16% |
 | NO2 | Adeccoligaen | 94.40 | 42 | 122.48% |
 | MK1 | Prva Liga | 93.20 | 17 | 154.82% |
 | ROCUP | ROCUP | 91.40 | 15 | 160.93% |
 | FI1 | Veikkausliiga | 72.70 | 19 | 138.26% |
| UKFACUP | FA Cup | 71.70 | 23 | 131.17% |
 | SK1 | Corgon Liga | 60.80 | 25 | 124.32% |
| RO1 | Liga I | 55.80 | 42 | 113.29% |
 | HR1 | 1. HNL | 53.70 | 19 | 128.26% |
 | ELCUP | Europa League | 53.00 | 54 | 109.81% |
 | NL2 | Eerste Divisie | 48.60 | 48 | 110.13% |
 | SW1 | Allsvenskan | 43.70 | 27 | 116.19% |
 | GR1 | Super League | 43.60 | 33 | 113.21% |
 | CH1 | Super League | 35.50 | 33 | 110.76% |
 | KZ1 | Super League | 34.90 | 50 | 106.98% |
 | CLCUP | Champions League | 33.40 | 60 | 105.57% |
 | PL1 | Ekstraklasa | 32.80 | 51 | 106.43% |
| SWCUP | SWCUP | 30.70 | 11 | 127.91% |
 | CZ1 | Gambrinus Liga | 26.80 | 32 | 108.38% |
| CZ2 | Druha Liga | 22.60 | 30 | 107.53% |
 | CS1 | Super Liga | 22.60 | 39 | 105.79% |
| UK1 | Premier League | 20.00 | 39 | 105.13% |
| FILCUP | FILCUP | 20.00 | 8 | 125.00% |
 | AL1 | Super League | 19.10 | 6 | 131.83% |
| ESCUP | Copa del Rey | 16.60 | 22 | 107.55% |
 | ISLCUP | ISLCUP | 16.50 | 10 | 116.50% |
| CH2 | Challenge League | 16.50 | 24 | 106.87% |
 | BG1 | Bulgaria A PFG | 15.40 | 25 | 106.16% |
| UK3 | League One | 11.70 | 34 | 103.44% |
 | FR3 | National | 9.00 | 21 | 104.29% |
 | LT1 | A Lyga | 8.20 | 28 | 102.93% |
 | ITCCUP | ITCCUP | 7.50 | 10 | 107.50% |
 | EE1 | Meistriliiga | 7.50 | 19 | 103.95% |
 | DKCUP | DKCUP | 6.70 | 6 | 111.17% |
| PLCUP | PLCUP | 5.90 | 10 | 105.90% |
 | HU1 | Soproni Liga | 4.60 | 18 | 102.56% |
 | AZ1 | Yuksak Liga | 4.50 | 16 | 102.81% |
| IT1 | Serie A | 3.30 | 61 | 100.54% |
| FI2 | Ykkösliiga | 2.00 | 13 | 101.54% |
| UK2 | Championship | 1.80 | 46 | 100.39% |
 | GE1 | Erovnuli Liga | -0.60 | 26 | 99.77% |
 | RU2 | 1. Division | -0.70 | 10 | 99.30% |
 | MT1 | Premier League | -1.80 | 19 | 99.05% |
 | TU1 | Superliga | -3.50 | 50 | 99.30% |
| UKFATCUP | UKFATCUP | -5.50 | 8 | 93.13% |
 | LA1 | Virsliga | -6.00 | 37 | 98.38% |
| FRCUP | Coupe de France | -6.20 | 8 | 92.25% |
| DK2 | 1. Divison | -7.20 | 20 | 96.40% |
| RO2 | Liga II | -9.40 | 33 | 97.15% |
| NO1 | Tippeligaen | -9.70 | 35 | 97.23% |
| RU1 | Premier Liga | -10.60 | 13 | 91.85% |
 | MN1 | Prva Crnogorska Liga | -11.40 | 12 | 90.50% |
 | UA1 | Vyscha Liga | -11.50 | 23 | 95.00% |
| NLCUP | KNVB Beker | -11.70 | 11 | 89.36% |
 | IL1 | Ligat Ha´al | -11.70 | 32 | 96.34% |
 | ATCUP | ATCUP | -13.00 | 6 | 78.33% |
 | NI1 | Premier League | -13.80 | 11 | 87.45% |
 | IR1 | Eircom Premier Divison | -16.00 | 27 | 94.07% |
| PL2 | I Liga | -16.40 | 26 | 93.69% |
| IT3C | Lega Pro C | -16.90 | 41 | 95.88% |
| IT3A | Lega Pro A | -21.50 | 38 | 94.34% |
| IS2 | 1. Deild | -25.00 | 18 | 86.11% |
 | AM1 | Premier League | -26.10 | 20 | 86.95% |
| IR2 | Eircom 1. Divison | -26.90 | 14 | 80.79% |
| ES3G2 | Segunda B 2 | -27.90 | 36 | 92.25% |
| ITCUP | Coppa Italia | -28.40 | 7 | 59.43% |
| CZCUP | CZCUP | -31.50 | 7 | 55.00% |
| AT2 | Erste Liga | -34.10 | 39 | 91.26% |
 | CY1 | 1. Division | -36.30 | 20 | 81.85% |
| DECUP | DECUP | -39.20 | 10 | 60.80% |
| BE2 | 1. Division B | -39.80 | 25 | 84.08% |
| PTCUP | PTCUP | -40.20 | 9 | 55.33% |
| ES1 | Primera Division | -46.50 | 55 | 91.55% |
| NL1 | Eredivisie | -48.20 | 48 | 89.96% |
 | WL1 | Premier League | -50.60 | 23 | 78.00% |
| UK5 | National League | -51.00 | 36 | 85.83% |
| DK1 | Superligaen | -54.10 | 29 | 81.34% |
| AT1 | Bundesliga | -54.30 | 29 | 81.28% |
| IT2 | Serie B | -56.10 | 56 | 89.98% |
| UK4 | League Two | -57.90 | 45 | 87.13% |
 | BY1 | Vysshaya Liga | -59.50 | 35 | 83.00% |
| PT1 | Super Liga | -61.20 | 43 | 85.77% |
 | SI1 | Prva Liga | -63.30 | 18 | 64.83% |
| DE3 | 3. Liga | -63.30 | 38 | 83.34% |
 | SC1 | Premier League | -77.80 | 24 | 67.58% |
| FR1 | Ligue 1 | -77.80 | 47 | 83.45% |
| FR2 | Ligue 2 | -79.00 | 49 | 83.88% |
| SC2 | Championship | -84.00 | 20 | 58.00% |
| SW2 | Superettan | -86.40 | 32 | 73.00% |
| IS1 | Landsbankadeild | -108.40 | 22 | 50.73% |
| TU2 | TFF 1. League | -109.60 | 30 | 63.47% |
 | BA1 | Premier Liga | -131.80 | 34 | 61.24% |
| DE2 | 2. Bundesliga | -158.60 | 48 | 66.96% |
| ES3G1 | Segunda B 1 | -158.70 | 26 | 38.96% |
| IT3B | Lega Pro B | -176.00 | 50 | 64.80% |
 | ECLCUP | Conference League | -181.60 | 61 | 70.23% |
| League | Profit | Games | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | US1 | Major Soccer League | 163.30 | 80 | 120.41% |
 | JP2 | J2 League | 112.70 | 47 | 123.98% |
 | CCLCUP | Leages Cup | 107.60 | 24 | 144.83% |
 | AU1 | A-League | 76.40 | 22 | 134.73% |
 | TH1 | Thai Premier League | 62.00 | 24 | 125.83% |
 | UZ1 | Uzbek League | 51.90 | 38 | 113.66% |
 | KR2 | K-League Challenge | 47.10 | 24 | 119.63% |
 | CLCCUP | CLCCUP | 41.50 | 10 | 141.50% |
 | IA1 | Iran Pro League | 33.80 | 38 | 108.89% |
 | GT1 | Liga Nacional | 33.80 | 21 | 116.10% |
 | VE1 | Primera Division | 33.40 | 32 | 110.44% |
 | MA1 | Botola Pro | 28.90 | 37 | 107.81% |
 | QA1 | Stars League | 28.70 | 24 | 111.96% |
 | JOCUP | JOCUP | 25.20 | 6 | 142.00% |
 | MX1 | Liga MX | 20.70 | 34 | 106.09% |
| JP1 | J League | 14.30 | 32 | 104.47% |
 | PE1 | Primera Division | 13.20 | 38 | 103.47% |
 | ZA1 | Premier Soccer League | 12.70 | 36 | 103.53% |
| MX2 | Liga de Expansion MX | 11.50 | 29 | 103.97% |
| JO1 | Jordan League | 7.00 | 8 | 108.75% |
 | AFCUP | AFC Cup | 3.80 | 10 | 103.80% |
 | BR2 | Serie B | 1.90 | 52 | 100.37% |
 | HK1 | Premier League | -0.40 | 13 | 99.69% |
 | DZ1 | League 1 | -1.70 | 33 | 99.48% |
 | SA1 | Pro League | -3.10 | 57 | 99.46% |
| CL1 | Primera Division | -8.60 | 39 | 97.79% |
 | BO1 | Liga Profesional | -10.90 | 34 | 96.79% |
| ZACUP | ZACUP | -11.30 | 6 | 81.17% |
 | CFCUP | CAF Confederation Cup | -12.50 | 6 | 79.17% |
 | AR1 | Primera Division | -14.10 | 94 | 98.50% |
| CCCUP | CONCACAF Champions League | -14.40 | 7 | 79.43% |
 | CA1 | Canadian Premier League | -16.30 | 20 | 91.85% |
 | PY1 | Divison Professional | -18.50 | 10 | 81.50% |
 | CR1 | Primera Division | -18.90 | 21 | 91.00% |
 | EG1 | Premier League | -22.80 | 47 | 95.15% |
 | MY1 | Super League | -29.00 | 9 | 67.78% |
| AFCCUP | AFC Champions League | -37.80 | 10 | 62.20% |
| CLICUP | Copa Libertadores | -41.70 | 49 | 91.49% |
 | IN1 | Super League | -42.50 | 16 | 73.44% |
 | CN1 | Super League | -54.10 | 44 | 87.70% |
 | TN1 | Ligue Professionnelle 1 | -55.20 | 44 | 87.45% |
 | ID1 | Super League | -75.90 | 45 | 83.13% |
 | UY1 | Primera Division | -79.80 | 35 | 77.20% |
 | AE1 | Arabian Gulf League | -82.50 | 29 | 71.55% |
| KR1 | K-League Classic | -97.90 | 35 | 72.03% |
 | HN1 | Liga Nacional | -98.70 | 25 | 60.52% |
 | VN1 | V-League | -110.20 | 22 | 49.91% |
| EC1 | Primera A | -121.00 | 36 | 66.39% |
 | CPCUP | Copa Sudamericana | -123.50 | 43 | 71.28% |
| BR1 | Serie A | -154.60 | 58 | 73.34% |
 | CO1 | Primera A | -179.10 | 48 | 62.69% |
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