Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?

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Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?

"Which league should I bet on today?"

The key to successful betting lies in understanding the nuances of different leagues and identifying where value can be found.

Some soccer-rating.com strategies offer a choice between Major Leagues and Lower Leagues.

Major Leagues generally have higher odds (a lower bookmaker margin). However, it is likely more challenging to find a profitable bet compared to a Lower League. This is simply because information for Major Leagues is quickly available to everyone. Important news such as injuries, absences for other reasons, tactical changes, etc., is not just known to you but to the entire world.

In this article, we specifically examine the profitability of leagues in soccer-rating.com strategies.

The results should be generally applicable for your bets, especially if you focus on trends (market movements, dropping odds).

General Guidelines:

  • Lower leagues with lower market coverage are better than very popular leagues. For example, you might prefer the 2nd division in Portugal over the 1st division.

  • Leagues with many goals (few draws) are better than leagues with fewer goals. A profitable league is the Dutch Eredivisie.

  • Leagues with many teams (e.g., 20 or even 24 teams) are better than leagues with fewer teams (e.g., only 10 teams). All 3rd divisions in Italy are very good for betting.

  • Avoid leagues with reserve teams/youth teams. Examples: Avoid the Dutch 2nd division, German 3rd division.

  • Many surprises are good for the bettor and not bad, as surprises create value (e.g., in the next game).

Lowr leagues with 14 or even fewer teams are generally not good for soccer betting because there are simply too few teams. If the teams play against each other 4 times during a season, there is no value left in the odds by the 3rd meeting, as the strengths are very predictable. In a league with 20 teams, however, there can be many surprises. After 10 matchdays, a team might be at the top that no one expected. For example, through luck or an easy start to the season, value can arise. This team would be one to bet against profitably.

Cup matches are also very good because they are harder for the bookmaker to calculate. The players used can change, and the motivation can vary. Here, the bettor can actually have an advantage over the bookmaker.

Here are the leagues from the “Prediction Today” page, sorted by payout.

This table is a yearly statistic and updates automatically after each new result. You can bookmark or share the page if you like.

LeagueProfitGamesPayout
BE11. Division A168.8052132.46%
PT2Liga de Honra125.0034136.76%
DE11. Bundesliga110.0037129.73%
NO2Adeccoligaen95.2049119.43%
ELCUPEuropa League92.1051118.06%
FI1Veikkausliiga87.0019145.79%
ROCUPROCUP78.9013160.69%
EE1Meistriliiga75.1019139.53%
MK1Prva Liga75.0017144.12%
UKFACUPFA Cup71.7023131.17%
UK1Premier League57.4047112.21%
UK3League One56.7044112.89%
CZ1Gambrinus Liga54.0028119.29%
UK4League Two48.1040112.02%
CZ2Druha Liga45.5039111.67%
RO1Liga I44.7043110.40%
PL2I Liga41.4024117.25%
GR1Super League40.9038110.76%
FI2Ykkösliiga37.6020118.80%
SK1Corgon Liga32.8028111.71%
SWCUPSWCUP30.7011127.91%
SW1Allsvenskan27.0023111.74%
LA1Virsliga25.9034107.62%
CH1Super League23.2035106.63%
LT1A Lyga22.5033106.82%
FILCUPFILCUP20.008125.00%
IL1Ligat Ha´al19.6031106.32%
UKLCUPEFL Cup19.309121.44%
UK2Championship18.1055103.29%
ESCUPCopa del Rey16.6022107.55%
ISLCUPISLCUP16.5010116.50%
CS1Super Liga15.6036104.33%
GE1Erovnuli Liga13.8020106.90%
DKCUPDKCUP12.207117.43%
NI1Premier League11.3016107.06%
CY11. Division9.7024104.04%
AZ1Yuksak Liga9.2013107.08%
HR11. HNL8.9022104.05%
BE21. Division B8.9027103.30%
CH2Challenge League8.6022103.91%
UA1Vyscha Liga7.2028102.57%
IT1Serie A4.7066100.71%
IR2Eircom 1. Divison3.1011102.82%
UK5National League-0.604699.87%
ES2Segunda Division-1.204699.74%
KZ1Super League-2.005199.61%
ITCUPCoppa Italia-2.00997.78%
UKFATCUPUKFATCUP-5.50893.13%
RU1Premier Liga-5.602097.20%
FRCUPCoupe de France-6.20892.25%
NL1Eredivisie-8.105198.41%
DECUPDECUP-9.20786.86%
HU1Soproni Liga-9.302195.57%
MT1Premier League-11.502294.77%
NLCUPKNVB Beker-11.701189.36%
CLCUPChampions League-11.905797.91%
AT2Erste Liga-16.103695.53%
FR3National-16.702793.81%
AL1Super League-20.901079.10%
IR1Eircom Premier Divison-21.202591.52%
DK21. Divison-22.602390.17%
PL1Ekstraklasa-25.305595.40%
CZCUPCZCUP-26.30656.17%
NL2Eerste Divisie-27.705194.57%
PTCUPPTCUP-30.20862.25%
PLCUPPLCUP-32.70753.29%
IS21. Deild-32.802083.60%
ITCCUPITCCUP-34.00751.43%
RO2Liga II-41.203788.86%
DE33. Liga-42.004089.50%
BG1Bulgaria A PFG-42.803186.19%
RU21. Division-43.401875.89%
AM1Premier League-47.902580.84%
FR2Ligue 2-49.405090.12%
TU1Superliga-52.204788.89%
WL1Premier League-54.002880.71%
DK1Superligaen-54.302981.28%
NO1Tippeligaen-58.104185.83%
AT1Bundesliga-62.002575.20%
SI1Prva Liga-66.901555.40%
BY1Vysshaya Liga-67.004284.05%
TU2TFF 1. League-67.303379.61%
FR1Ligue 1-67.605687.93%
PT1Super Liga-68.804685.04%
IT3ALega Pro A-69.804584.49%
ES3G2Segunda B 2-70.904182.71%
SC1Premier League-73.802873.64%
MN1Prva Crnogorska Liga-76.601754.94%
IS1Landsbankadeild-76.902569.24%
ES1Primera Division-77.706187.26%
IT3CLega Pro C-95.104980.59%
SW2Superettan-95.703169.13%
IT2Serie B-98.407286.33%
SC2Championship-110.402249.82%
IT3BLega Pro B-115.605779.72%
BA1Premier Liga-130.103461.74%
ECLCUPConference League-158.306676.02%
DE22. Bundesliga-160.605067.88%
ES3G1Segunda B 1-209.502825.18%

LeagueProfitGamesPayout
US1Major Soccer League244.4079130.94%
JP2J2 League127.0045128.22%
CCLCUPLeages Cup106.3028137.96%
AR1Primera Division81.0097108.35%
MX1Liga MX80.0042119.05%
AU1A-League76.4022134.73%
JP1J League75.8030125.27%
ZA1Premier Soccer League57.7038115.18%
TH1Thai Premier League49.6026119.08%
IA1Iran Pro League44.8040111.20%
AFCUPAFC Cup41.8011138.00%
JOCUPJOCUP29.208136.50%
HK1Premier League21.2014115.14%
CLCCUPCLCCUP20.507129.29%
BO1Liga Profesional20.0036105.56%
VE1Primera Division18.6031106.00%
DZ1League 114.4045103.20%
UZ1Uzbek League12.4033103.76%
EG1Premier League11.7047102.49%
CL1Primera Division7.3033102.21%
MA1Botola Pro3.4036100.94%
KR2K-League Challenge2.9027101.07%
MY1Super League-2.201198.00%
SA1Pro League-4.105399.23%
JO1Jordan League-5.001195.45%
CA1Canadian Premier League-8.001995.79%
PY1Divison Professional-8.50990.56%
UY1Primera Division-11.203796.97%
CFCUPCAF Confederation Cup-12.50679.17%
MX2Liga de Expansion MX-13.602694.77%
CCCUPCONCACAF Champions League-14.40779.43%
GT1Liga Nacional-19.802391.39%
BRCUPBRCUP-20.20666.33%
PE1Primera Division-27.804493.68%
QA1Stars League-35.602786.81%
CR1Primera Division-40.402079.80%
CLICUPCopa Libertadores-42.005091.60%
IN1Super League-42.501673.44%
TN1Ligue Professionnelle 1-44.804890.67%
EC1Primera A-45.103988.44%
BR2Serie B-45.705791.98%
CN1Super League-48.904488.89%
AFCCUPAFC Champions League-57.801251.83%
AE1Arabian Gulf League-60.203884.16%
ID1Super League-91.104680.20%
CPCUPCopa Sudamericana-99.704477.34%
BR1Serie A-101.208087.35%
KR1K-League Classic-116.903768.41%
CO1Primera A-132.104570.64%
HN1Liga Nacional-137.702647.04%
VN1V-League-144.002440.00%


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