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Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?
"Which league should I bet on today?"
The key to successful betting lies in understanding the nuances of different leagues and identifying where value can be found.
Some soccer-rating.com strategies offer a choice between Major Leagues and Lower Leagues.
Major Leagues generally have higher odds (a lower bookmaker margin). However, it is likely more challenging to find a profitable bet compared to a Lower League. This is simply because information for Major Leagues is quickly available to everyone. Important news such as injuries, absences for other reasons, tactical changes, etc., is not just known to you but to the entire world.
In this article, we specifically examine the profitability of leagues in soccer-rating.com strategies.
The results should be generally applicable for your bets, especially if you focus on trends (market movements, dropping odds).
General Guidelines:
- Lower leagues with lower market coverage are better than very popular leagues. For example, you might prefer the 2nd division in Portugal over the 1st division.
- Leagues with many goals (few draws) are better than leagues with fewer goals. A profitable league is the Dutch Eredivisie.
- Leagues with many teams (e.g., 20 or even 24 teams) are better than leagues with fewer teams (e.g., only 10 teams). All 3rd divisions in Italy are very good for betting.
- Avoid leagues with reserve teams/youth teams. Examples: Avoid the Dutch 2nd division, German 3rd division.
- Many surprises are good for the bettor and not bad, as surprises create value (e.g., in the next game).
Lowr leagues with 14 or even fewer teams are generally not good for soccer betting because there are simply too few teams. If the teams play against each other 4 times during a season, there is no value left in the odds by the 3rd meeting, as the strengths are very predictable. In a league with 20 teams, however, there can be many surprises. After 10 matchdays, a team might be at the top that no one expected. For example, through luck or an easy start to the season, value can arise. This team would be one to bet against profitably.
Cup matches are also very good because they are harder for the bookmaker to calculate. The players used can change, and the motivation can vary. Here, the bettor can actually have an advantage over the bookmaker.
Here are the leagues from the “Prediction Today” page, sorted by payout.
This table is a yearly statistic and updates automatically after each new result. You can bookmark or share the page if you like.
| League | Profit | Games | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | IT3A | Lega Pro A | 177.00 | 93 | 119.03% |
 | CLCUP | Champions League | 141.00 | 35 | 140.29% |
 | UK3 | League One | 127.10 | 76 | 116.72% |
 | RU1 | Premier Liga | 112.10 | 26 | 143.12% |
| IT3C | Lega Pro C | 110.60 | 90 | 112.29% |
| IT2 | Serie B | 109.80 | 75 | 114.64% |
 | HU1 | Soproni Liga | 107.20 | 34 | 131.53% |
 | IS1 | Landsbankadeild | 106.30 | 32 | 133.22% |
 | WL1 | Premier League | 103.60 | 30 | 134.53% |
 | HR1 | 1. HNL | 99.90 | 27 | 137.00% |
| UK1 | Premier League | 90.20 | 57 | 115.82% |
| UK4 | League Two | 88.70 | 48 | 118.48% |
| IT3B | Lega Pro B | 78.80 | 103 | 107.65% |
 | RO2 | Liga II | 70.60 | 23 | 130.70% |
 | SC1 | Premier League | 68.80 | 44 | 115.64% |
| UKLCUP | EFL Cup | 68.50 | 31 | 122.10% |
 | DE1 | 1. Bundesliga | 64.40 | 62 | 110.39% |
| UK5 | National League | 63.00 | 61 | 110.33% |
| RU2 | 1. Division | 60.30 | 37 | 116.30% |
 | PT2 | Liga de Honra | 54.90 | 57 | 109.63% |
 | NLCUP | KNVB Beker | 51.90 | 15 | 134.60% |
 | LA1 | Virsliga | 51.50 | 39 | 113.21% |
 | SI1 | Prva Liga | 49.20 | 31 | 115.87% |
 | ESCUP | Copa del Rey | 47.20 | 24 | 119.67% |
 | FI2 | Ykkösliiga | 44.00 | 27 | 116.30% |
| FILCUP | FILCUP | 43.50 | 6 | 172.50% |
| NL1 | Eredivisie | 41.70 | 78 | 105.35% |
 | FRCUP | Coupe de France | 39.20 | 14 | 128.00% |
 | TU1 | Superliga | 38.60 | 72 | 105.36% |
| DE2 | 2. Bundesliga | 36.90 | 38 | 109.71% |
 | NI1 | Premier League | 36.80 | 24 | 115.33% |
| ES2 | Segunda Division | 34.30 | 63 | 105.44% |
 | IR1 | Eircom Premier Divison | 32.10 | 33 | 109.73% |
 | AT2 | Erste Liga | 31.40 | 29 | 110.83% |
 | MN1 | Prva Crnogorska Liga | 30.40 | 22 | 113.82% |
 | BE2 | 1. Division B | 29.20 | 36 | 108.11% |
 | SWCUP | SWCUP | 28.70 | 12 | 123.92% |
| SC2 | Championship | 28.30 | 27 | 110.48% |
| FR1 | Ligue 1 | 23.50 | 57 | 104.12% |
| ATCUP | ATCUP | 22.70 | 6 | 137.83% |
 | DK1 | Superligaen | 22.20 | 25 | 108.88% |
 | CZ2 | Druha Liga | 22.00 | 49 | 104.49% |
| ITCCUP | ITCCUP | 20.00 | 25 | 108.00% |
 | LT1 | A Lyga | 19.50 | 22 | 108.86% |
| RUCUP | RUCUP | 15.80 | 6 | 126.33% |
| IS2 | 1. Deild | 14.00 | 24 | 105.83% |
 | ELCUP | Europa League | 12.40 | 47 | 102.64% |
 | PLCUP | PLCUP | 10.00 | 8 | 112.50% |
| CZCUP | CZCUP | 10.00 | 9 | 111.11% |
 | AM1 | Premier League | 10.00 | 24 | 104.17% |
 | BG1 | Bulgaria A PFG | 8.80 | 51 | 101.73% |
| PTCUP | PTCUP | 7.60 | 8 | 109.50% |
| TUCUP | TUCUP | 6.90 | 7 | 109.86% |
 | CY1 | 1. Division | 6.90 | 37 | 101.86% |
 | EE1 | Meistriliiga | 5.60 | 18 | 103.11% |
 | MD1 | Divizia Nationala | 4.90 | 16 | 103.06% |
 | NO2 | Adeccoligaen | 4.30 | 47 | 100.91% |
| TU2 | TFF 1. League | 2.40 | 62 | 100.39% |
 | CS1 | Super Liga | 0.60 | 50 | 100.12% |
 | SK1 | Corgon Liga | -0.70 | 34 | 99.79% |
 | BA1 | Premier Liga | -1.00 | 40 | 99.75% |
 | GE1 | Erovnuli Liga | -3.20 | 27 | 98.81% |
| AT1 | Bundesliga | -4.50 | 27 | 98.33% |
| PL2 | I Liga | -4.60 | 30 | 98.47% |
 | IL1 | Ligat Ha´al | -5.20 | 48 | 98.92% |
 | MT1 | Premier League | -7.60 | 43 | 98.23% |
| ISLCUP | ISLCUP | -9.60 | 8 | 88.00% |
 | BY1 | Vysshaya Liga | -10.20 | 34 | 97.00% |
| DK2 | 1. Divison | -10.30 | 13 | 92.08% |
 | CH1 | Super League | -11.30 | 29 | 96.10% |
| ES3G1 | Segunda B 1 | -14.80 | 77 | 98.08% |
| BECUP | BECUP | -15.20 | 12 | 87.33% |
| NO1 | Tippeligaen | -15.30 | 46 | 96.67% |
| FI1 | Veikkausliiga | -16.70 | 22 | 92.41% |
| CZ1 | Gambrinus Liga | -18.40 | 35 | 94.74% |
| DKCUP | DKCUP | -19.60 | 7 | 72.00% |
| PT1 | Super Liga | -22.40 | 63 | 96.44% |
 | GR1 | Super League | -26.80 | 33 | 91.88% |
| ITCUP | Coppa Italia | -28.80 | 8 | 64.00% |
| BE1 | 1. Division A | -30.80 | 53 | 94.19% |
| DECUP | DECUP | -31.30 | 7 | 55.29% |
| FR2 | Ligue 2 | -33.10 | 67 | 95.06% |
 | AL1 | Super League | -33.60 | 35 | 90.40% |
| ROCUP | ROCUP | -33.80 | 9 | 62.44% |
| SW1 | Allsvenskan | -35.00 | 29 | 87.93% |
| NILCUP | NILCUP | -35.60 | 6 | 40.67% |
 | AZ1 | Yuksak Liga | -43.40 | 33 | 86.85% |
| UKFACUP | FA Cup | -44.70 | 29 | 84.59% |
| CH2 | Challenge League | -54.00 | 37 | 85.41% |
| ES1 | Primera Division | -54.50 | 80 | 93.19% |
 | KZ1 | Super League | -56.20 | 30 | 81.27% |
| IT1 | Serie A | -58.10 | 78 | 92.55% |
| ES3G2 | Segunda B 2 | -65.50 | 58 | 88.71% |
 | ECLCUP | Conference League | -72.90 | 90 | 91.90% |
 | UA1 | Vyscha Liga | -73.50 | 34 | 78.38% |
| UK2 | Championship | -89.00 | 74 | 87.97% |
| SW2 | Superettan | -100.50 | 27 | 62.78% |
| DE3 | 3. Liga | -120.10 | 46 | 73.89% |
| PL1 | Ekstraklasa | -120.40 | 39 | 69.13% |
| FR3 | National | -125.30 | 55 | 77.22% |
 | MK1 | Prva Liga | -132.50 | 31 | 57.26% |
| RO1 | Liga I | -133.80 | 71 | 81.15% |
| NL2 | Eerste Divisie | -139.60 | 80 | 82.55% |
| League | Profit | Games | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | MX2 | Liga de Expansion MX | 150.70 | 44 | 134.25% |
 | MA1 | Botola Pro | 148.40 | 81 | 118.32% |
 | ZA1 | Premier Soccer League | 129.30 | 56 | 123.09% |
 | MY1 | Super League | 118.10 | 20 | 159.05% |
 | ID1 | Super League | 105.60 | 50 | 121.12% |
 | CR1 | Primera Division | 91.20 | 36 | 125.33% |
 | SA1 | Pro League | 87.60 | 54 | 116.22% |
 | UY1 | Primera Division | 77.10 | 42 | 118.36% |
 | BR1 | Serie A | 76.20 | 54 | 114.11% |
 | UZ1 | Uzbek League | 73.40 | 32 | 122.94% |
 | AFCCUP | AFC Champions League | 71.20 | 26 | 127.38% |
 | DZ1 | League 1 | 67.80 | 77 | 108.81% |
 | CN1 | Super League | 65.90 | 42 | 115.69% |
| AFCUP | AFC Cup | 58.10 | 16 | 136.31% |
 | CCLCUP | Leages Cup | 41.50 | 32 | 112.97% |
 | TH1 | Thai Premier League | 38.80 | 57 | 106.81% |
 | JP2 | J2 League | 35.20 | 48 | 107.33% |
 | TN1 | Ligue Professionnelle 1 | 35.10 | 24 | 114.63% |
| JPCUP | JPCUP | 34.80 | 12 | 129.00% |
 | ARCUP | ARCUP | 25.60 | 6 | 142.67% |
 | CL1 | Primera Division | 24.60 | 45 | 105.47% |
 | IN2 | I League | 19.10 | 35 | 105.46% |
| BRCUP | BRCUP | 18.80 | 12 | 115.67% |
 | PE1 | Primera Division | 15.20 | 65 | 102.34% |
| EC1 | Primera A | 13.50 | 53 | 102.55% |
 | QA1 | Stars League | 11.60 | 22 | 105.27% |
 | AE1 | Arabian Gulf League | 10.90 | 40 | 102.73% |
 | PY1 | Divison Professional | 6.30 | 27 | 102.33% |
| BR2 | Serie B | 3.70 | 69 | 100.54% |
 | KR2 | K-League Challenge | -3.30 | 35 | 99.06% |
| AR1 | Primera Division | -3.60 | 132 | 99.73% |
 | CPCUP | Copa Sudamericana | -3.90 | 43 | 99.09% |
| MX1 | Liga MX | -4.30 | 75 | 99.43% |
| CLCCUP | CLCCUP | -5.10 | 9 | 94.33% |
 | BOCUP | BOCUP | -5.50 | 15 | 96.33% |
 | HK1 | Premier League | -9.90 | 18 | 94.50% |
| BRP | Paulista | -23.30 | 10 | 76.70% |
 | US1 | Major Soccer League | -33.30 | 121 | 97.25% |
 | GT1 | Liga Nacional | -33.50 | 46 | 92.72% |
 | VE1 | Primera Division | -34.80 | 29 | 88.00% |
 | EG1 | Premier League | -36.20 | 44 | 91.77% |
 | CO1 | Primera A | -37.40 | 68 | 94.50% |
 | CA1 | Canadian Premier League | -38.40 | 26 | 85.23% |
| JPLCUP | League Cup | -43.60 | 20 | 78.20% |
| BO1 | Liga Profesional | -44.70 | 55 | 91.87% |
| IN1 | Super League | -61.10 | 30 | 79.63% |
 | AU1 | A-League | -66.70 | 31 | 78.48% |
| CLICUP | Copa Libertadores | -76.70 | 34 | 77.44% |
 | VN1 | V-League | -104.70 | 37 | 71.70% |
| KR1 | K-League Classic | -105.00 | 33 | 68.18% |
| JP1 | J League | -110.30 | 60 | 81.62% |
 | IA1 | Iran Pro League | -164.00 | 68 | 75.88% |