Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?

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Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?

"Which league should I bet on today?"

The key to successful betting lies in understanding the nuances of different leagues and identifying where value can be found.

Some soccer-rating.com strategies offer a choice between Major Leagues and Lower Leagues.

Major Leagues generally have higher odds (a lower bookmaker margin). However, it is likely more challenging to find a profitable bet compared to a Lower League. This is simply because information for Major Leagues is quickly available to everyone. Important news such as injuries, absences for other reasons, tactical changes, etc., is not just known to you but to the entire world.

In this article, we specifically examine the profitability of leagues in soccer-rating.com strategies.

The results should be generally applicable for your bets, especially if you focus on trends (market movements, dropping odds).

General Guidelines:

  • Lower leagues with lower market coverage are better than very popular leagues. For example, you might prefer the 2nd division in Portugal over the 1st division.

  • Leagues with many goals (few draws) are better than leagues with fewer goals. A profitable league is the Dutch Eredivisie.

  • Leagues with many teams (e.g., 20 or even 24 teams) are better than leagues with fewer teams (e.g., only 10 teams). All 3rd divisions in Italy are very good for betting.

  • Avoid leagues with reserve teams/youth teams. Examples: Avoid the Dutch 2nd division, German 3rd division.

  • Many surprises are good for the bettor and not bad, as surprises create value (e.g., in the next game).

Lowr leagues with 14 or even fewer teams are generally not good for soccer betting because there are simply too few teams. If the teams play against each other 4 times during a season, there is no value left in the odds by the 3rd meeting, as the strengths are very predictable. In a league with 20 teams, however, there can be many surprises. After 10 matchdays, a team might be at the top that no one expected. For example, through luck or an easy start to the season, value can arise. This team would be one to bet against profitably.

Cup matches are also very good because they are harder for the bookmaker to calculate. The players used can change, and the motivation can vary. Here, the bettor can actually have an advantage over the bookmaker.

Here are the leagues from the “Prediction Today” page, sorted by payout.

This table is a yearly statistic and updates automatically after each new result. You can bookmark or share the page if you like.

LeagueProfitGamesPayout
EE1Meistriliiga154.7033146.88%
PL2I Liga134.6027149.85%
UK1Premier League104.1041125.39%
DE11. Bundesliga98.4022144.73%
ELCUPEuropa League91.2037124.65%
BE11. Division A87.4038123.00%
UK5National League82.6034124.29%
ROCUPROCUP81.006235.00%
CZ1Gambrinus Liga79.6026130.62%
GR1Super League79.0021137.62%
FR2Ligue 278.5038120.66%
UK2Championship74.8049115.27%
NL1Eredivisie74.2042117.67%
UK4League Two70.6033121.39%
CY11. Division69.5023130.22%
IL1Ligat Ha´al69.2018138.44%
CLCUPChampions League63.4031120.45%
IR1Eircom Premier Divison62.8026124.15%
PT2Liga de Honra62.2015141.47%
RU21. Division61.9033118.76%
CH2Challenge League58.1015138.73%
RUCUPRUCUP49.6015133.07%
ECLCUPConference League49.4075106.59%
FI1Veikkausliiga47.5027117.59%
NO2Adeccoligaen46.1045110.24%
DECUPDECUP45.5013135.00%
DK1Superligaen45.2025118.08%
CZ2Druha Liga43.1042110.26%
BE21. Division B41.0022118.64%
UKFACUPFA Cup39.0010139.00%
PT1Super Liga38.9030112.97%
IS21. Deild38.5021118.33%
IS1Landsbankadeild32.6034109.59%
UK3League One31.5038108.29%
MK1Prva Liga30.8016119.25%
NOCUPNOCUP27.2012122.67%
KZ1Super League26.9033108.15%
RU1Premier Liga26.8039106.87%
UA1Vyscha Liga20.6036105.72%
ES3G2Segunda B 220.4027107.56%
UKLCUPEFL Cup18.2012115.17%
CH1Super League17.6021108.38%
NI1Premier League17.1013113.15%
AZ1Yuksak Liga16.307123.29%
ITCUPCoppa Italia15.006125.00%
UKFATCUPUKFATCUP14.506124.17%
MD1Divizia Nationala12.5016107.81%
ESCUPCopa del Rey7.8010107.80%
RO2Liga II4.6035101.31%
RO1Liga I3.8031101.23%
NLCUPKNVB Beker-0.40699.33%
MT1Premier League-1.501599.00%
LT1A Lyga-3.403298.94%
IT1Serie A-6.204198.49%
IT2Serie B-6.704498.48%
BG1Bulgaria A PFG-10.202796.22%
PTCUPPTCUP-10.90681.83%
AL1Super League-10.901290.92%
NL2Eerste Divisie-19.203794.81%
DK21. Divison-20.101788.18%
PLCUPPLCUP-22.70662.17%
HU1Soproni Liga-24.601785.53%
AT1Bundesliga-25.601074.40%
ES2Segunda Division-26.403492.24%
DE33. Liga-26.502589.40%
IT3CLega Pro C-26.903993.10%
CS1Super Liga-28.702789.37%
SW1Allsvenskan-28.903992.59%
CZCUPCZCUP-29.70862.88%
BA1Premier Liga-30.702688.19%
ISCUPISCUP-31.10648.17%
DKCUPDKCUP-31.50965.00%
ITCCUPITCCUP-34.00751.43%
FR3National-36.402081.80%
ES1Primera Division-38.104791.89%
TU2TFF 1. League-41.402885.21%
FI2Ykkösliiga-50.102680.73%
AM1Premier League-50.802276.91%
SC1Premier League-53.702174.43%
MN1Prva Crnogorska Liga-54.601767.88%
SW2Superettan-58.303482.85%
HR11. HNL-60.001968.42%
TU1Superliga-62.102978.59%
LA1Virsliga-62.103582.26%
BY1Vysshaya Liga-64.604585.64%
FR1Ligue 1-68.904183.20%
SK1Corgon Liga-69.502673.27%
IT3ALega Pro A-70.803076.40%
GE1Erovnuli Liga-75.802771.93%
AT2Erste Liga-77.203376.61%
WL1Premier League-77.802264.64%
SI1Prva Liga-85.901646.31%
SC2Championship-88.301644.81%
IT3BLega Pro B-91.004479.32%
DE22. Bundesliga-91.703775.22%
NO1Tippeligaen-96.103874.71%
ES3G1Segunda B 1-171.502531.40%
PL1Ekstraklasa-179.104055.23%

LeagueProfitGamesPayout
UY1Primera Division171.9046137.37%
BR1Serie A167.5099116.92%
BO1Liga Profesional84.6040121.15%
AFCUPAFC Cup71.808189.75%
CA1Canadian Premier League70.1020135.05%
ZA1Premier Soccer League62.4024126.00%
CO1Primera A60.3057110.58%
UZ1Uzbek League59.5039115.26%
MX1Liga MX54.8031117.68%
MA1Botola Pro43.8016127.38%
US1Major Soccer League38.10111103.43%
AE1Arabian Gulf League36.5032111.41%
CLICUPCopa Libertadores27.5025111.00%
HK1Premier League22.1015114.73%
MY1Super League21.4013116.46%
TH1Thai Premier League19.7017111.59%
JOCUPJOCUP19.209121.33%
AU1A-League19.1018110.61%
PY1Divison Professional17.2019109.05%
BRCUPBRCUP15.507122.14%
INCUPINCUP12.407117.71%
GT1Liga Nacional10.3019105.42%
JO1Jordan League9.0021104.29%
CAFCUPCAF Champions League3.007104.29%
IA1Iran Pro League2.6050100.52%
MX2Liga de Expansion MX-0.701899.61%
JPLCUPLeague Cup-1.102099.45%
EG1Premier League-2.903399.12%
CN1Super League-6.604598.53%
VE1Primera Division-6.802697.38%
ID1Super League-9.303297.09%
JPCUPJPCUP-13.10678.17%
JP1J League-15.004596.67%
CCLCUPLeages Cup-17.602993.93%
JP2J2 League-26.604994.57%
QA1Stars League-27.901682.56%
CACUPCACUP-37.50637.50%
AFCCUPAFC Champions League-38.101061.90%
BOCUPBOCUP-39.00635.00%
KR1K-League Classic-39.702785.30%
CLCCUPCLCCUP-40.40849.50%
EC1Primera A-40.604791.36%
CL1Primera Division-42.502884.82%
VN1V-League-45.201874.89%
CR1Primera Division-46.001467.14%
TN1Ligue Professionnelle 1-46.503787.43%
SA1Pro League-59.303180.87%
CPCUPCopa Sudamericana-63.404385.26%
HN1Liga Nacional-65.601453.14%
DZ1League 1-76.205084.76%
BR2Serie B-111.405680.11%
KR2K-League Challenge-119.803767.62%
AR1Primera Division-138.409084.62%
PE1Primera Division-148.506577.15%


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