Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?

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Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?

"Which league should I bet on today?"

The key to successful betting lies in understanding the nuances of different leagues and identifying where value can be found.

Some soccer-rating.com strategies offer a choice between Major Leagues and Lower Leagues.

Major Leagues generally have higher odds (a lower bookmaker margin). However, it is likely more challenging to find a profitable bet compared to a Lower League. This is simply because information for Major Leagues is quickly available to everyone. Important news such as injuries, absences for other reasons, tactical changes, etc., is not just known to you but to the entire world.

In this article, we specifically examine the profitability of leagues in soccer-rating.com strategies.

The results should be generally applicable for your bets, especially if you focus on trends (market movements, dropping odds).

General Guidelines:

  • Lower leagues with lower market coverage are better than very popular leagues. For example, you might prefer the 2nd division in Portugal over the 1st division.

  • Leagues with many goals (few draws) are better than leagues with fewer goals. A profitable league is the Dutch Eredivisie.

  • Leagues with many teams (e.g., 20 or even 24 teams) are better than leagues with fewer teams (e.g., only 10 teams). All 3rd divisions in Italy are very good for betting.

  • Avoid leagues with reserve teams/youth teams. Examples: Avoid the Dutch 2nd division, German 3rd division.

  • Many surprises are good for the bettor and not bad, as surprises create value (e.g., in the next game).

Lowr leagues with 14 or even fewer teams are generally not good for soccer betting because there are simply too few teams. If the teams play against each other 4 times during a season, there is no value left in the odds by the 3rd meeting, as the strengths are very predictable. In a league with 20 teams, however, there can be many surprises. After 10 matchdays, a team might be at the top that no one expected. For example, through luck or an easy start to the season, value can arise. This team would be one to bet against profitably.

Cup matches are also very good because they are harder for the bookmaker to calculate. The players used can change, and the motivation can vary. Here, the bettor can actually have an advantage over the bookmaker.

Here are the leagues from the “Prediction Today” page, sorted by payout.

This table is a yearly statistic and updates automatically after each new result. You can bookmark or share the page if you like.

LeagueProfitGamesPayout
PL2I Liga162.1023170.48%
EE1Meistriliiga126.7031140.87%
BE11. Division A97.4037126.32%
UK1Premier League93.1040123.28%
ELCUPEuropa League91.2037124.65%
UK5National League82.6034124.29%
ROCUPROCUP81.006235.00%
GR1Super League79.0021137.62%
CZ1Gambrinus Liga76.5025130.60%
DE11. Bundesliga75.9020137.95%
UK2Championship74.8049115.27%
FR2Ligue 272.5036120.14%
UK4League Two70.6033121.39%
NL1Eredivisie65.4037117.68%
CLCUPChampions League63.4031120.45%
NO2Adeccoligaen56.1044112.75%
DECUPDECUP55.5012146.25%
CY11. Division54.4019128.63%
RUCUPRUCUP49.6015133.07%
ECLCUPConference League49.4075106.59%
UKFACUPFA Cup49.009154.44%
FI1Veikkausliiga47.5027117.59%
PT2Liga de Honra45.8013135.23%
CH2Challenge League44.6014131.86%
BE21. Division B41.0022118.64%
IS21. Deild38.5021118.33%
DK1Superligaen38.0021118.10%
IR1Eircom Premier Divison37.8021118.00%
PT1Super Liga35.4029112.21%
IS1Landsbankadeild32.6034109.59%
UK3League One31.5038108.29%
IL1Ligat Ha´al28.3014120.21%
NOCUPNOCUP27.2012122.67%
CZ2Druha Liga22.1041105.39%
RU1Premier Liga21.8036106.06%
KZ1Super League20.9031106.74%
MK1Prva Liga20.6013115.85%
UKLCUPEFL Cup18.2012115.17%
NI1Premier League17.1013113.15%
AZ1Yuksak Liga16.307123.29%
ITCUPCoppa Italia15.006125.00%
UKFATCUPUKFATCUP14.506124.17%
CS1Super Liga11.3023104.91%
MD1Divizia Nationala9.5015106.33%
ESCUPCopa del Rey7.8010107.80%
CH1Super League6.7016104.19%
LT1A Lyga6.6031102.13%
RO1Liga I3.8031101.23%
UA1Vyscha Liga0.1034100.03%
NLCUPKNVB Beker-0.40699.33%
RU21. Division-3.102798.85%
DE33. Liga-6.502397.17%
RO2Liga II-7.903497.68%
NL2Eerste Divisie-9.203697.44%
PTCUPPTCUP-10.90681.83%
AL1Super League-10.901290.92%
MT1Premier League-16.401387.38%
DK21. Divison-20.101788.18%
HU1Soproni Liga-22.301585.13%
PLCUPPLCUP-22.70662.17%
IT1Serie A-23.403994.00%
AT1Bundesliga-25.601074.40%
ES2Segunda Division-26.403492.24%
IT3CLega Pro C-26.903993.10%
CZCUPCZCUP-29.70862.88%
ISCUPISCUP-31.10648.17%
DKCUPDKCUP-31.50965.00%
IT2Serie B-31.704192.27%
ES3G2Segunda B 2-32.902285.05%
ITCCUPITCCUP-34.00751.43%
BA1Premier Liga-37.102383.87%
LA1Virsliga-42.103387.24%
FR3National-46.901975.32%
SK1Corgon Liga-49.502479.37%
FI2Ykkösliiga-50.102680.73%
BG1Bulgaria A PFG-50.202680.69%
FR1Ligue 1-50.603886.68%
HR11. HNL-52.901768.88%
BY1Vysshaya Liga-54.604487.59%
GE1Erovnuli Liga-55.802577.68%
TU2TFF 1. League-56.202375.57%
SC1Premier League-58.702070.65%
SW1Allsvenskan-58.803683.67%
ES1Primera Division-62.104084.48%
AM1Premier League-64.502169.29%
SW2Superettan-66.503379.85%
MN1Prva Crnogorska Liga-66.601658.38%
WL1Premier League-67.802167.71%
SC2Championship-68.301451.21%
IT3ALega Pro A-70.803076.40%
TU1Superliga-75.102671.12%
DE22. Bundesliga-87.003272.81%
IT3BLega Pro B-91.004479.32%
NO1Tippeligaen-92.903674.19%
SI1Prva Liga-95.701536.20%
AT2Erste Liga-110.003164.52%
ES3G1Segunda B 1-151.002024.50%
PL1Ekstraklasa-180.603649.83%

LeagueProfitGamesPayout
BR1Serie A187.5097119.33%
UY1Primera Division170.3040142.58%
ZA1Premier Soccer League82.4022137.45%
BO1Liga Profesional76.4038120.11%
AFCUPAFC Cup71.808189.75%
CA1Canadian Premier League70.1020135.05%
MA1Botola Pro49.4014135.29%
UZ1Uzbek League46.0034113.53%
MX1Liga MX41.8028114.93%
AU1A-League39.1016124.44%
AE1Arabian Gulf League38.8030112.93%
US1Major Soccer League34.80103103.38%
TH1Thai Premier League29.7016118.56%
CLICUPCopa Libertadores25.6024110.67%
MY1Super League21.4013116.46%
CO1Primera A20.2048104.21%
JOCUPJOCUP19.209121.33%
BRCUPBRCUP15.507122.14%
INCUPINCUP12.407117.71%
GT1Liga Nacional10.3019105.42%
JO1Jordan League9.0021104.29%
HK1Premier League7.3012106.08%
JP1J League4.0040101.00%
CAFCUPCAF Champions League3.007104.29%
EG1Premier League-2.903399.12%
VE1Primera Division-3.602498.50%
CN1Super League-6.604598.53%
ID1Super League-9.303297.09%
JPCUPJPCUP-13.10678.17%
JPLCUPLeague Cup-13.201691.75%
PY1Divison Professional-14.601388.77%
IA1Iran Pro League-15.704896.73%
CCLCUPLeages Cup-17.602993.93%
CLCCUPCLCCUP-20.40666.00%
MX2Liga de Expansion MX-21.201585.87%
CL1Primera Division-22.502691.35%
QA1Stars League-27.901682.56%
EC1Primera A-35.304391.79%
CACUPCACUP-37.50637.50%
AFCCUPAFC Champions League-38.101061.90%
BOCUPBOCUP-39.00635.00%
KR1K-League Classic-44.702582.12%
VN1V-League-45.201874.89%
CR1Primera Division-46.001467.14%
TN1Ligue Professionnelle 1-46.503787.43%
JP2J2 League-58.604386.37%
SA1Pro League-59.303180.87%
CPCUPCopa Sudamericana-63.404385.26%
HN1Liga Nacional-65.601453.14%
DZ1League 1-66.204986.49%
AR1Primera Division-97.408388.27%
BR2Serie B-111.405680.11%
KR2K-League Challenge-118.003364.24%
PE1Primera Division-194.006268.71%


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