Soccer Betting: Which Leagues Are the Most Profitable?

"Which league should I bet on today?"

The key to successful betting lies in understanding the nuances of different leagues and identifying where value can be found.

Some soccer-rating.com strategies offer a choice between Major Leagues and Lower Leagues.

Major Leagues generally have higher odds (a lower bookmaker margin). However, it is likely more challenging to find a profitable bet compared to a Lower League. This is simply because information for Major Leagues is quickly available to everyone. Important news such as injuries, absences for other reasons, tactical changes, etc., is not just known to you but to the entire world.

In this article, we specifically examine the profitability of leagues in soccer-rating.com strategies.

The results should be generally applicable for your bets, especially if you focus on trends (market movements, dropping odds).

General Guidelines:

• Lower leagues with lower market coverage are better than very popular leagues. For example, you might prefer the 2nd division in Portugal over the 1st division.

• Leagues with many goals (few draws) are better than leagues with fewer goals. A profitable league is the Dutch Eredivisie.

• Leagues with many teams (e.g., 20 or even 24 teams) are better than leagues with fewer teams (e.g., only 10 teams). All 3rd divisions in Italy are very good for betting.

• Avoid leagues with reserve teams/youth teams. Examples: Avoid the Dutch 2nd division, German 3rd division.

• Many surprises are good for the bettor and not bad, as surprises create value (e.g., in the next game).

Lowr leagues with 14 or even fewer teams are generally not good for soccer betting because there are simply too few teams. If the teams play against each other 4 times during a season, there is no value left in the odds by the 3rd meeting, as the strengths are very predictable. In a league with 20 teams, however, there can be many surprises. After 10 matchdays, a team might be at the top that no one expected. For example, through luck or an easy start to the season, value can arise. This team would be one to bet against profitably.

Cup matches are also very good because they are harder for the bookmaker to calculate. The players used can change, and the motivation can vary. Here, the bettor can actually have an advantage over the bookmaker.

Here are the leagues from the “Prediction Today” page, sorted by payout.

This table is a yearly statistic and updates automatically after each new result. You can bookmark or share the page if you like.

League			Profit	Games	Payout
	BE1	1. Division A	152.80	55	127.78%
	PT2	Liga de Honra	132.50	28	147.32%
	ELCUP	Europa League	130.30	52	125.06%
	EE1	Meistriliiga	122.10	22	155.50%
	DE1	1. Bundesliga	110.00	37	129.73%
	UK2	Championship	77.10	56	113.77%
	PL2	I Liga	75.80	23	132.96%
	ROCUP	ROCUP	74.70	12	162.25%
	NO2	Adeccoligaen	74.50	50	114.90%
	UKFACUP	FA Cup	71.70	23	131.17%
	RO1	Liga I	66.90	49	113.65%
	UK4	League Two	66.60	42	115.86%
	CZ1	Gambrinus Liga	66.20	29	122.83%
	CLCUP	Champions League	54.60	51	110.71%
	UK3	League One	48.00	48	110.00%
	CZ2	Druha Liga	44.30	48	109.23%
	UK1	Premier League	43.60	52	108.38%
	NI1	Premier League	43.30	17	125.47%
	GR1	Super League	40.90	38	110.76%
	DECUP	DECUP	40.80	13	131.38%
	IS2	1. Deild	38.40	24	116.00%
	BE2	1. Division B	35.80	31	111.55%
	UK5	National League	34.90	45	107.76%
	CH1	Super League	34.10	34	110.03%
	RUCUP	RUCUP	33.50	12	127.92%
	ECLCUP	Conference League	31.30	87	103.60%
	SWCUP	SWCUP	30.70	11	127.91%
	CH2	Challenge League	25.60	23	111.13%
	MK1	Prva Liga	23.10	13	117.77%
	FI1	Veikkausliiga	20.60	21	109.81%
	SK1	Corgon Liga	20.40	28	107.29%
	FILCUP	FILCUP	20.00	8	125.00%
	IL1	Ligat Ha´al	19.60	31	106.32%
	IR1	Eircom Premier Divison	18.80	32	105.87%
	ESCUP	Copa del Rey	16.60	22	107.55%
	ISLCUP	ISLCUP	16.50	10	116.50%
	UKLCUP	EFL Cup	15.50	14	111.07%
	KZ1	Super League	13.90	38	103.66%
	CS1	Super Liga	12.80	35	103.66%
	RU1	Premier Liga	12.00	31	103.87%
	CY1	1. Division	9.70	24	104.04%
	IT1	Serie A	4.70	66	100.71%
	HR1	1. HNL	3.90	20	101.95%
	DKCUP	DKCUP	2.20	8	102.75%
	MD1	Divizia Nationala	1.30	7	101.86%
	LA1	Virsliga	0.80	31	100.26%
	SW1	Allsvenskan	-0.40	36	99.89%
	NOCUP	NOCUP	-1.50	6	97.50%
	ITCUP	Coppa Italia	-2.00	9	97.78%
	AZ1	Yuksak Liga	-5.40	13	95.85%
	UKFATCUP	UKFATCUP	-5.50	8	93.13%
	FRCUP	Coupe de France	-6.20	8	92.25%
	FR3	National	-7.20	28	97.43%
	MT1	Premier League	-11.50	22	94.77%
	NLCUP	KNVB Beker	-11.70	11	89.36%
	NL2	Eerste Divisie	-13.70	51	97.31%
	HU1	Soproni Liga	-15.50	22	92.95%
	DK2	1. Divison	-18.60	21	91.14%
	GE1	Erovnuli Liga	-18.90	22	91.41%
	AL1	Super League	-20.90	10	79.10%
	NL1	Eredivisie	-21.30	50	95.74%
	IS1	Landsbankadeild	-22.90	37	93.81%
	FR2	Ligue 2	-23.30	50	95.34%
	FI2	Ykkösliiga	-24.40	23	89.39%
	RU2	1. Division	-24.90	19	86.89%
	PT1	Super Liga	-26.10	45	94.20%
	CZCUP	CZCUP	-26.30	6	56.17%
	SI1	Prva Liga	-26.90	15	82.07%
	LT1	A Lyga	-28.60	35	91.83%
	TU1	Superliga	-30.00	46	93.48%
	SW2	Superettan	-30.20	32	90.56%
	PTCUP	PTCUP	-30.20	8	62.25%
	PLCUP	PLCUP	-32.70	7	53.29%
	ES2	Segunda Division	-33.40	48	93.04%
	ITCCUP	ITCCUP	-34.00	7	51.43%
	DE3	3. Liga	-42.00	40	89.50%
	NO1	Tippeligaen	-46.10	41	88.76%
	BY1	Vysshaya Liga	-47.20	43	89.02%
	DK1	Superligaen	-49.60	26	80.92%
	WL1	Premier League	-54.00	28	80.71%
	RO2	Liga II	-54.40	40	86.40%
	FR1	Ligue 1	-55.10	57	90.33%
	MN1	Prva Crnogorska Liga	-56.60	15	62.27%
	UA1	Vyscha Liga	-61.80	32	80.69%
	AT1	Bundesliga	-64.00	19	66.32%
	AT2	Erste Liga	-69.20	35	80.23%
	IT3A	Lega Pro A	-69.80	45	84.49%
	ES3G2	Segunda B 2	-70.90	41	82.71%
	SC1	Premier League	-73.80	28	73.64%
	ES1	Primera Division	-75.20	63	88.06%
	AM1	Premier League	-90.30	25	63.88%
	BG1	Bulgaria A PFG	-94.40	30	68.53%
	SC2	Championship	-94.80	19	50.11%
	IT3C	Lega Pro C	-95.10	49	80.59%
	IT2	Serie B	-98.40	72	86.33%
	IT3B	Lega Pro B	-115.60	57	79.72%
	PL1	Ekstraklasa	-123.20	58	78.76%
	DE2	2. Bundesliga	-127.60	51	74.98%
	TU2	TFF 1. League	-128.00	34	62.35%
	BA1	Premier Liga	-133.60	36	62.89%
	ES3G1	Segunda B 1	-209.50	28	25.18%

League			Profit	Games	Payout
	US1	Major Soccer League	199.10	115	117.31%
	JP2	J2 League	192.10	49	139.20%
	UY1	Primera Division	187.60	51	136.78%
	AU1	A-League	76.40	22	134.73%
	IA1	Iran Pro League	70.50	38	118.55%
	BR1	Serie A	62.00	101	106.14%
	ZA1	Premier Soccer League	49.80	36	113.83%
	MX1	Liga MX	47.10	44	110.70%
	JP1	J League	44.20	42	110.52%
	UZ1	Uzbek League	43.50	37	111.76%
	AFCUP	AFC Cup	41.80	11	138.00%
	CA1	Canadian Premier League	40.10	23	117.43%
	JPLCUP	League Cup	31.80	8	139.75%
	TH1	Thai Premier League	29.60	28	110.57%
	JOCUP	JOCUP	29.20	8	136.50%
	EG1	Premier League	21.20	51	104.16%
	BRCUP	BRCUP	15.50	7	122.14%
	GT1	Liga Nacional	15.10	23	106.57%
	HK1	Premier League	11.20	15	107.47%
	MX2	Liga de Expansion MX	1.80	29	100.62%
	MA1	Botola Pro	-0.40	21	99.81%
	MY1	Super League	-0.80	14	99.43%
	CL1	Primera Division	-5.40	40	98.65%
	AE1	Arabian Gulf League	-10.60	42	97.48%
	SA1	Pro League	-10.90	52	97.90%
	CFCUP	CAF Confederation Cup	-12.50	6	79.17%
	JPCUP	JPCUP	-13.10	6	78.17%
	CCCUP	CONCACAF Champions League	-14.40	7	79.43%
	JO1	Jordan League	-19.80	16	87.63%
	TN1	Ligue Professionnelle 1	-24.80	49	94.94%
	CCLCUP	Leages Cup	-27.60	30	90.80%
	DZ1	League 1	-32.60	54	93.96%
	CLICUP	Copa Libertadores	-32.80	36	90.89%
	CACUP	CACUP	-37.50	6	37.50%
	BOCUP	BOCUP	-39.00	6	35.00%
	CN1	Super League	-40.30	49	91.78%
	QA1	Stars League	-42.50	29	85.34%
	IN1	Super League	-42.50	16	73.44%
	CPCUP	Copa Sudamericana	-42.60	36	88.17%
	VE1	Primera Division	-52.00	39	86.67%
	PY1	Divison Professional	-57.10	17	66.41%
	AFCCUP	AFC Champions League	-57.80	12	51.83%
	EC1	Primera A	-64.80	51	87.29%
	CR1	Primera Division	-66.40	24	72.33%
	ID1	Super League	-77.10	49	84.27%
	AR1	Primera Division	-84.20	94	91.04%
	KR1	K-League Classic	-87.30	40	78.18%
	BO1	Liga Profesional	-88.90	38	76.61%
	PE1	Primera Division	-89.90	69	86.97%
	KR2	K-League Challenge	-94.20	35	73.09%
	BR2	Serie B	-129.70	53	75.53%
	CO1	Primera A	-130.50	56	76.70%
	VN1	V-League	-137.70	31	55.58%
	HN1	Liga Nacional	-165.60	27	38.67%